AISL Executive Summary
Burundi affiche un score AISL ajusté de 15.7/100, classé « hautement restrictif ». Le marché de l'assurance y pesait 47 millions $ en 2024, pour une pénétration de 1.0% du PIB. Une cession obligatoire s'applique aux réassureurs étrangers (Africa Re 5% (base Union Africaine, presume)).
Summary written from verified AISL data, not an opinion, a starting point for analysis.
Economy
Capital
Gitega
Population
Not documented
GDP
$4.8 B
Currency
BIF
Insurance market
Market size
$47 M
Penetration
1.0%
Density / capita
Not documented
Growth (GDP proxy)
3.0%
Regulatory framework
Regulatory openness
Highly RestrictiveCompulsory cession
Yes
Africa Re 5% (base Union Africaine, presume) - aucune cession locale specifique chiffree trouvee
Active friction mechanisms
1 / 7
Reference year
2024
AISL Score
Base score
19.1
Adjusted score (friction)
15.7
Regulatory access
86/100
Methodology breakdown
AISL recommendation: AVOID / HIGH RISK
AISL Score Badge
Show the Burundi score — live — on your own site, in a deck or an email signature. The image updates automatically with every score revision, nothing to redo on your end.
- 1Copy the code below
- 2Paste it into your site, email or document
- 3The badge displays, always up to date
Similar markets
Structurally close profiles to Burundi, computed on market size, growth, sector structure, environment and founder judgment.
Market (2024)
Vie : 37%
$17.4M
Non-vie : 63%
$29.6M
Total : $47.0M
Total premiums
$47.0M
Penetration
1.0%
Density / capita
Not documented
Growth
—
Number of insurers
—
International comparison
This market is -84% versus the OECD average (6.2% of GDP, 2024) and -82% versus the average across all reporting jurisdictions (5.4%, 2024).
Source: OECD, Global Insurance Market Trends 2025. These averages cover jurisdictions reporting to the OECD, not an exhaustive global sample.
Source: Atlas Magazine - African Insurance Market 2024
Macroeconomic context (2024)
GDP
$4.8 B
GDP growth
3.0%
Population
—
Inflation
15.0%
Currency
BIF
Source: World Bank/IMF Burundi Country Page, juillet 2026
Regulatory mechanisms
Africa Re 5% (base Union Africaine, presume) - aucune cession locale specifique chiffree trouvee
Source: ARCA, recherche web juillet 2026 - PAS de source GRF dediee
What this market requires at entry
1 active regulatory mechanism on this market, with what each one concretely means for entering Burundi.
"What If" Simulator
Each active friction mechanism removes 3.4 points from this market's score (base score: 19.1, before regulatory friction). Uncheck a mechanism below to simulate its removal and see how many points this market would regain — using the exact AISL scoring formula.
Simulated score
15.7
1 mechanism active (1 × 3.4 = −3.4 pts)
Market players
16 companies, 2024 premiums in USD millions
Market concentration
ConcentratedHHI 159180
Leader: SOCABU Non Vie (30.9%) — 16 companies
HHI = Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, a standard market concentration measure (sum of squared shares). <1500 = competitive, 1500-2500 = moderately concentrated, >2500 = concentrated.
Segment Life (7 companies)
| Company | 2024 premiums (M$) | Market share | Change | 2025(estimated) | 2026(estimated) | 2027(estimated) | 2028(estimated) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOCABU Non Vie | 15.0 | 30.9% | +0.2% | 17.3 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 26.6 |
| Jubilee Non Vie | 5.8 | 12.0% | +0.2% | 6.9 | 8.1 | 9.6 | 11.4 |
| SOCAR Non Vie | 5.3 | 10.9% | +0.2% | 6.2 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 10.2 |
| BIC NON VIE | 3.0 | 6.2% | +0.1% | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| BIC VIE | 1.1 | 2.3% | +0.3% | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| BICOR Vie | 1.0 | 2.0% | +0.0% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Jubilee Vie | 0.9 | 1.9% | -0.1% | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Segment Non-Life (9 companies)
| Company | 2024 premiums (M$) | Market share | Change | 2025(estimated) | 2026(estimated) | 2027(estimated) | 2028(estimated) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INKINZO | 7.7 | 15.9% | +2.0% | 11.6 | 17.3 | 26.0 | 39.0 |
| UCAR VC | 2.7 | 5.6% | +0.5% | 4.0 | 6.1 | 9.1 | 13.7 |
| BICOR AG | 2.3 | 4.7% | -0.3% | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| EGIC-NV | 1.5 | 3.1% | -0.2% | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| SERENITY | 0.8 | 1.6% | -0.2% | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| RIC NV | 0.7 | 1.3% | +3.6% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| AGICO | 0.5 | 1.0% | +0.9% | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| AVIA | 0.2 | 0.4% | +0.4% | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| RIC VC | 0.1 | 0.1% | — | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Market share: official source figure when available, otherwise computed from the companies listed for this segment (not necessarily 100% of the country's total market). The 2025-2028 columns, in italics, are projections: never a blank cell, but the color indicates the reliability of the method used: gray = company-specific growth rate, amber = failing that, the country's market growth, orange = failing that, the country's GDP growth, light red = no growth data available, flat 0% by default.
Active reinsurers
9 reinsurers (national + regional operating in this zone), 2021 revenue in USD millions
| Reinsurer | Scope | Revenue 2021 (M$) | Net income (M$) | Observed growth | 2022(est.) | 2023(est.) | 2024(est.) | 2025(est.) | 2026(est.) | 2027(est.) | 2028(est.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana Re - Kenya | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zep Re - Zimbabwe | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zep Re | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CICA - Re | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waica Re - Kenya | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WAICA Re - Zimbabwe | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zep Re (PTA Reinsurance Co) | Regional | 213.0 | 18.1 | +2.3% | 218.0 | 223.0 | 228.0 | 233.2 | 238.6 | 244.0 | 249.6 |
| CICA-RE | Regional | 176.2 | 13.4 | +11.3% | 196.1 | 218.3 | 243.0 | 270.6 | 301.3 | 335.5 | 373.7 |
| WAICA Re | Regional | 153.3 | 19.9 | +49.5% | 229.5 | 343.3 | 513.5 | 768.1 | 1148.9 | 1719.1 | 2572.0 |
Source: Atlas Magazine, Reinsurance Yearbook 2023. Last real data available: fiscal year 2021 (left-hand columns). The "2028 revenue (estimated)" column, in italic gray, is a projection based solely on the growth rate observed between 2020 and 2021 (capped between -30% and +50%/year); this is not an observed figure and should be treated with caution, particularly for companies with volatile or negative net income.
AISL Summary
- AISL positioning: 16/100, "Highly Restrictive" market.
- Insurance market: $47M, fiscal year 2024.
- Main entry barrier: compulsory cession (Africa Re 5% (base Union Africaine, presume) - aucune cession locale specifique chiffree trouvee).
- Sits 14.9 points below the regional average (17 scored markets).
Regional comparison
Average adjusted score in East Africa : 30.6 (out of 17 scored markets)
Burundi is 14.9 points below the regional average