AISL Executive Summary
South Sudan obtient un score AISL ajusté de 1.9/100 (hautement restrictif). En 2025, le marché assurantiel local représentait 5 millions $ (0.1% de pénétration du PIB). Le principal frein réglementaire à l'entrée est la cession légale obligatoire (ZEP-RE (presume, membre COMESA/PTA)). Le marché applique par ailleurs plusieurs mécanismes complémentaires : un droit de premier refus au bénéfice du réassureur local et une exigence de capacité locale.
Summary written from available AISL data, some of which is estimated due to a lack of official public sources. Not an opinion, a starting point for analysis.
Economy
Capital
Djouba
Population
Not documented
GDP
$4.6 B
Currency
SSP
Insurance market
Market size
$5 M
Penetration
0.1%
Density / capita
Not documented
Growth (GDP proxy)
4.0%
Regulatory framework
Regulatory openness
Highly RestrictiveCompulsory cession
Yes
ZEP-RE (presume, membre COMESA/PTA) - non confirme precisement
Active friction mechanisms
3 / 7
Reference year
2025
AISL Score
Market with limited public documentation: underlying market data relies partly or fully on estimation, due to a lack of accessible official figures. Should be treated with caution.
Base score
12.1
Adjusted score (friction)
1.9
Regulatory access
58/100
Methodology breakdown
AISL recommendation: AVOID / HIGH RISK
AISL Score Badge
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Similar markets
Structurally close profiles to South Sudan, computed on market size, growth, sector structure, environment and founder judgment.
Market (2025)
Total premiums
$4.6M
Penetration
0.1%
Density / capita
Not documented
Growth
—
Number of insurers
—
International comparison
This market is -98% versus the OECD average (6.2% of GDP, 2024) and -98% versus the average across all reporting jurisdictions (5.4%, 2024).
Source: OECD, Global Insurance Market Trends 2025. These averages cover jurisdictions reporting to the OECD, not an exhaustive global sample.
Source: Estimation - marche assurantiel quasi inexistant, economie tres fragile, juillet 2026
Macroeconomic context (2024)
GDP
$4.6 B
GDP growth
4.0%
Population
—
Inflation
22.2%
Currency
SSP
Source: AfDB South Sudan Economic Outlook, juillet 2026
Regulatory mechanisms
ZEP-RE (presume, membre COMESA/PTA) - non confirme precisement
Source: Estimation par defaut - PAS de source GRF dediee, PAS de donnees sectorielles fiables disponibles
What this market requires at entry
3 active regulatory mechanisms on this market, with what each one concretely means for entering South Sudan.
"What If" Simulator
Each active friction mechanism removes 3.4 points from this market's score (base score: 12.1, before regulatory friction). Uncheck a mechanism below to simulate its removal and see how many points this market would regain — using the exact AISL scoring formula.
Simulated score
1.9
3 mechanisms active (3 × 3.4 = −10.2 pts)
Active reinsurers
9 reinsurers (national + regional operating in this zone), 2021 revenue in USD millions
| Reinsurer | Scope | Revenue 2021 (M$) | Net income (M$) | Observed growth | 2022(est.) | 2023(est.) | 2024(est.) | 2025(est.) | 2026(est.) | 2027(est.) | 2028(est.) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana Re - Kenya | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zep Re - Zimbabwe | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zep Re | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CICA - Re | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waica Re - Kenya | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WAICA Re - Zimbabwe | Regional | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zep Re (PTA Reinsurance Co) | Regional | 213.0 | 18.1 | +2.3% | 218.0 | 223.0 | 228.0 | 233.2 | 238.6 | 244.0 | 249.6 |
| CICA-RE | Regional | 176.2 | 13.4 | +11.3% | 196.1 | 218.3 | 243.0 | 270.6 | 301.3 | 335.5 | 373.7 |
| WAICA Re | Regional | 153.3 | 19.9 | +49.5% | 229.5 | 343.3 | 513.5 | 768.1 | 1148.9 | 1719.1 | 2572.0 |
Source: Atlas Magazine, Reinsurance Yearbook 2023. Last real data available: fiscal year 2021 (left-hand columns). The "2028 revenue (estimated)" column, in italic gray, is a projection based solely on the growth rate observed between 2020 and 2021 (capped between -30% and +50%/year); this is not an observed figure and should be treated with caution, particularly for companies with volatile or negative net income.
AISL Summary
- AISL positioning: 2/100, "Highly Restrictive" market.
- Insurance market: $5M, fiscal year 2025.
- Main entry barrier: compulsory cession (ZEP-RE (presume, membre COMESA/PTA) - non confirme precisement).
- Sits 29.5 points below the regional average (17 scored markets).
Regional comparison
Average adjusted score in East Africa : 31.4 (out of 17 scored markets)
South Sudan is 29.5 points below the regional average