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AISL Executive Summary

Avec un score AISL ajusté de 22.1/100, Zambia se classe dans la catégorie « hautement restrictif ». Le marché de l'assurance y pesait 345 millions $ en 2024, pour une pénétration de 1.0% du PIB. Une cession obligatoire s'applique aux réassureurs étrangers (ZEP-RE 10% + Africa Re 5% + National Re. 10%). Le marché applique par ailleurs une exigence de capacité locale.

Summary written from verified AISL data, not an opinion, a starting point for analysis.

East Africa

🇿🇲Zambia

Highly Restrictive Compare PDF

Economy

Capital

Lusaka

Population

Not documented

GDP

$28.9 B

Currency

ZMW

Insurance market

Market size

$345 M

Penetration

1.0%

Density / capita

Not documented

Growth (GDP proxy)

0.1%

Regulatory framework

Regulatory openness

Highly Restrictive

Compulsory cession

Yes

ZEP-RE 10% + Africa Re 5% + National Re. 10%

Active friction mechanisms

2 / 7

Reference year

2024

AISL Score

Base score

28.9

Adjusted score (friction)

22.1

Regulatory access

72/100

Methodology breakdown

AISL recommendation: WATCH / MONITOR

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Similar markets

Structurally close profiles to Zambia, computed on market size, growth, sector structure, environment and founder judgment.

Market (2024)

Vie : 33%

$112.5M

Non-vie : 67%

$232.1M

Total : $344.7M

Total premiums

$344.7M

Penetration

1.0%

Density / capita

Not documented

Growth

Number of insurers

International comparison

This market is -84% versus the OECD average (6.2% of GDP, 2024) and -81% versus the average across all reporting jurisdictions (5.4%, 2024).

Source: OECD, Global Insurance Market Trends 2025. These averages cover jurisdictions reporting to the OECD, not an exhaustive global sample.

Source: Atlas Magazine - African Insurance Market 2024

Macroeconomic context (2025)

GDP

$28.9 B

GDP growth

0.1%

Population

Inflation

9.4%

Currency

ZMW

Source: Wikipedia Economy infobox (source IMF)

Regulatory mechanisms

Compulsory cession

ZEP-RE 10% + Africa Re 5% + National Re. 10%

Yes
Right of first refusal (ROFR)
No
Local capacity required
Yes
Minimum rating required
No
Accreditation required
No
Withholding tax
No
Fronting special acceptance
No

Source: GRF - Reinsurance Trade Barriers and Market Access Issues Worldwide, mai 2026

What this market requires at entry

2 active regulatory mechanisms on this market, with what each one concretely means for entering Zambia.

Compulsory legal cession: ZEP-RE 10% + Africa Re 5% + National Re. 10%
Local capacity requirement: a local partnership is necessary

"What If" Simulator

Each active friction mechanism removes 3.4 points from this market's score (base score: 28.9, before regulatory friction). Uncheck a mechanism below to simulate its removal and see how many points this market would regain — using the exact AISL scoring formula.

Simulated score

22.1

real score
Highly Restrictive

2 mechanisms active (2 × 3.4 = −6.8 pts)

Market players

30 companies, 2024 premiums in USD millions

Market concentration

Concentrated

HHI 82149

Leader: Professional Insurance Corporation Zambia Plc (19.2%) — 30 companies

HHI = Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, a standard market concentration measure (sum of squared shares). <1500 = competitive, 1500-2500 = moderately concentrated, >2500 = concentrated.

Segment Life (6 companies)

Company2024 premiums (M$)Market shareChange2025(estimated)2026(estimated)2027(estimated)2028(estimated)
Prudential Life Assurance Zambia37.09.6%+0.0%37.037.037.037.0
Sanlam Life Zambia Limited21.05.4%-0.1%19.217.516.014.6
Madison Life Insurance Company Zambia Ltd16.04.2%+0.1%18.320.923.927.3
ZSIC Life Ltd14.03.6%+0.1%15.116.217.518.8
Liberty Life Insurance Zambia Ltd11.02.9%+0.3%13.917.622.228.1
Absa Life Limited5.41.4%+0.0%5.55.65.75.8

Segment Non-Life (24 companies)

Company2024 premiums (M$)Market shareChange2025(estimated)2026(estimated)2027(estimated)2028(estimated)
Professional Insurance Corporation Zambia Plc74.019.2%+0.1%78.282.787.492.4
ZSIC General Insurance Limited41.010.6%+0.2%49.459.671.986.7
Hollard Insurance Zambia Limited26.06.7%+0.1%28.230.533.135.8
NICO Insurance Zambia Ltd25.06.5%-0.1%21.618.616.013.8
Swan Insurance Company Zambia Limited20.05.2%+1.2%30.045.067.5101.3
OneLife Assurance Zambia Ltd15.03.9%+0.3%18.823.429.336.6
Madison General Insurance Company Zambia Limited14.03.6%-0.1%12.310.79.48.2
Specialty Emergency Services14.03.6%+0.2%16.319.122.225.9
Mayfair Insurance Company Zambia Limited12.03.1%+0.3%16.221.829.439.7
Africa Pride Insurance Company9.02.3%+0.4%12.316.722.831.1
Goldman Insurance Limited6.61.7%-0.0%6.46.26.05.9
Savenda General Insurance4.81.2%+1.0%7.210.816.224.3
Golden Lotus Insurance Limited4.11.1%-0.1%3.73.32.92.6
Phoenix of Zambia Assurance Company (2009) Limited3.20.8%+0.4%4.56.28.612.0
A Plus General Insurance Limited2.50.7%+0.1%2.73.03.23.5
General Alliance Insurance Zambia Limited2.10.5%-0.0%2.01.91.81.7
Advantage General Insurance Limited2.10.5%-0.1%1.91.81.61.5
Discover Insurance Company Limited1.90.5%2.02.12.32.4
Innovate Insurance Limited1.00.3%-0.6%0.70.50.30.2
Adelvis General Insurance Limited0.90.3%-0.6%0.70.50.30.2
Veritas General Insurance Limited0.80.2%0.80.90.91.0
Klapton Insurance Zambia0.80.2%0.80.80.91.0
Indigo General Insurance Limited0.50.1%0.50.50.60.6
Bestlife Insurance0.30.1%0.30.30.30.3

Market share: official source figure when available, otherwise computed from the companies listed for this segment (not necessarily 100% of the country's total market). The 2025-2028 columns, in italics, are projections: never a blank cell, but the color indicates the reliability of the method used: gray = company-specific growth rate, amber = failing that, the country's market growth, orange = failing that, the country's GDP growth, light red = no growth data available, flat 0% by default.

Active reinsurers

11 reinsurers (national + regional operating in this zone), 2021 revenue in USD millions

ReinsurerScopeRevenue 2021 (M$)Net income (M$)Observed growth2022(est.)2023(est.)2024(est.)2025(est.)2026(est.)2027(est.)2028(est.)
Zep Re - ZimbabweRegional
Zambia ReNational
Zep ReRegional
CICA - ReRegional
Klapton ReNational
Waica Re - KenyaRegional
WAICA Re - ZimbabweRegional
Ghana Re - KenyaRegional
Zep Re (PTA Reinsurance Co)Regional213.018.1+2.3%218.0223.0228.0233.2238.6244.0249.6
CICA-RERegional176.213.4+11.3%196.1218.3243.0270.6301.3335.5373.7
WAICA ReRegional153.319.9+49.5%229.5343.3513.5768.11148.91719.12572.0

Source: Atlas Magazine, Reinsurance Yearbook 2023. Last real data available: fiscal year 2021 (left-hand columns). The "2028 revenue (estimated)" column, in italic gray, is a projection based solely on the growth rate observed between 2020 and 2021 (capped between -30% and +50%/year); this is not an observed figure and should be treated with caution, particularly for companies with volatile or negative net income.

AISL Summary

  • AISL positioning: 22/100, "Highly Restrictive" market.
  • Insurance market: $345M, fiscal year 2024.
  • Main entry barrier: compulsory cession (ZEP-RE 10% + Africa Re 5% + National Re. 10%).
  • Sits 8.1 points below the regional average (17 scored markets).

Regional comparison

Average adjusted score in East Africa : 30.2 (out of 17 scored markets)

Zambia is 8.1 points below the regional average

AISL provides market intelligence and decision support, not legal advice. Regulatory assessments are based on public sources and should be verified with local counsel before any commercial decision.